{"id":8485,"date":"2026-05-24T01:24:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T17:24:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/forecasting-scientific-progress-with-ai\/"},"modified":"2026-05-24T01:24:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T17:24:25","slug":"forecasting-scientific-progress-with-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/forecasting-scientific-progress-with-ai\/","title":{"rendered":"cusp-scientific-foresight\uff1aAI \u80fd\u5426\u9810\u6e2c\u79d1\u5b78\u7a81\u7834\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/pasted-4d90c787f131.jpg\" alt=\"Repository image for 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\u5165\u624b\uff0c\u5148\u770b\u6bcf\u7b46\u7d00\u9304\u5305\u542b\u751a\u9ebc\u6b04\u4f4d\uff0c\u518d\u9010\u985e\u578b\u6bd4\u8f03\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u73fe\u3002\u5b83\u652f\u63f4\u591a\u7a2e\u984c\u578b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e8c\u5143\u5224\u65b7\u3001\u53cd\u5411\u64fe\u52d5\u984c\u3001\u56db\u9078\u4e00\u3001\u958b\u653e\u5f0f\u56de\u7b54\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u767c\u8868\u6642\u9593\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u5c0d\u7814\u7a76\u8a55\u4f30\u6d41\u7a0b\u7684\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\u76f8\u7576\u5b8c\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u9805\u76ee\u60f3\u89e3\u6c7a\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u822c\u554f\u7b54\u6e96\u4e0d\u6e96\uff0c\u800c\u662fAI\u6709\u6c92\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5728\u8cc7\u8a0a\u53d7\u9650\u4e0b\u63a8\u6e2c\u79d1\u7814\u9032\u7a0b\u3002\u9019\u9ede\u6bd4\u5e38\u898b\u57fa\u6e96\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u771f\u5be6\u7814\u7a76\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u91cd\u9ede\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u80cc\u5230\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u80fd\u5426\u6839\u64da\u904e\u5f80\u8108\u7d61\u4f5c\u51fa\u524d\u77bb\u63a8\u8ad6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8f03\u7a81\u51fa\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u662f\u5b83\u52a0\u5165\u300c\u6b77\u53f2\u77e5\u8b58\u622a\u9ede\u300d\u548c\u8de8\u5b78\u79d1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8a2d\u8a08\uff0c\u6db5\u84cb4,760\u500b\u79d1\u5b78\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u628a\u6642\u9593\u9810\u6e2c\u90fd\u7d0d\u5165\u8a55\u5206\u3002\u8ad6\u6587\u5167\u5bb9\u4ea6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u524d\u6cbf\u6a21\u578b\u96d6\u7136\u80fd\u8fa8\u8a8d\u770b\u4f3c\u5408\u7406\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0d\u65bc\u6210\u679c\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u6703\u767c\u751f\u3001\u6703\u5728\u5e7e\u6642\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u4e26\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\uff1bAI\u76f8\u95dc\u9032\u5c55\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6bd4\u751f\u7269\u3001\u5316\u5b78\u3001\u7269\u7406\u66f4\u6613\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u91cd\u9ede\u4e0d\u662f\u7b54\u984c\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u524d\u77bb\u5224\u65b7\u80fd\u529b<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>\u984c\u578b\u6db5\u84cb\u662f\u975e\u984c\u3001\u9078\u64c7\u984c\u3001\u958b\u653e\u56de\u7b54\u8207\u6642\u9593\u9810\u6e2c<\/li>\n<li>\u6d89\u53ca\u591a\u500b\u79d1\u5b78\u9818\u57df\uff0c\u80fd\u770b\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u9818\u57df\u7684\u5dee\u7570<\/li>\n<li>\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\u6a21\u578b\u5b58\u5728\u904e\u5ea6\u81ea\u4fe1\u8207\u56de\u7b54\u504f\u5dee<\/li>\n<li>\u76f8\u95dc\u6a21\u578b\u5c64\u9762\uff0c\u9805\u76ee\u4e3b\u8981\u7528\u4f86\u8a55\u4f30\u73fe\u4ee3\u5927\u578b\u8a9e\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u53ea\u9650\u55ae\u4e00\u6a21\u578b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u6574\u9ad4\u4f86\u770b\uff0cCUSP\u8f03\u9069\u5408\u505a\u6a21\u578b\u8a55\u4f30\u3001AI\u7814\u7a76\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u6216\u95dc\u5fc3\u300cAI\u80fd\u5426\u5e6b\u624b\u5224\u65b7\u79d1\u7814\u8d70\u5411\u300d\u7684\u4eba\u95b1\u8b80\u3002\u5b83\u672a\u5fc5\u662f\u4e00\u822c\u7528\u5bb6\u5373\u958b\u5373\u7528\u7684\u61c9\u7528\u578b\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46\u4f5c\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u8a55\u6e2c\u9805\u76ee\uff0c\u5b83\u628a\u554f\u984c\u5b9a\u7fa9\u5f97\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u9192\u5927\u5bb6\uff1a\u6a21\u578b\u61c2\u5f97\u6574\u7406\u5df2\u77e5\u8cc7\u8a0a\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u5df2\u7d93\u61c2\u5f97\u53ef\u9760\u5730\u9810\u6e2c\u79d1\u5b78\u7a81\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>GitHub\uff1a<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/SeanWu25\/cusp-scientific-foresight\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/github.com\/SeanWu25\/cusp-scientific-foresight<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Paper\uff1a<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2605.22681\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2605.22681<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CUSP\u7528\u6b77\u53f2\u77e5\u8b58\u622a\u9ede\u6e2c\u8a66AI\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u5426\u9810\u6e2c\u79d1\u5b78\u9032\u5c55\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u6709\u4eae\u9ede\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6e05\u695a\u986f\u793a\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5\u9650\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":8484,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[133,199],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-133","category-dataset-"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8485\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8484"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infernews.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}